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Slideshow · Technology

Why Top Scientists Fear a 10% Chance AI Destroys Humanity

Over a third of published AI researchers calculate at least a one-in-ten probability that superintelligent systems cause human extinction. Here is the mathematical logic driving their fear.

16 Sept 2026

6 Min Read15 Slides
  1. Close-up portrait of 2024 Nobel laureate Geoffrey Hinton looking contemplative against a dark studio background.
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In the largest global survey of published artificial intelligence researchers, 37 percent placed the probability of human extinction or catastrophic disempowerment from AI at 10 percent or higher. This is not science fiction; it is the consensus mathematics of the field's founders.

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©Jennifer 8. Lee

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